Will Nichelle Lewis win Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured Role in a Musical at the 79th Tony Awards?
This contract is priced at 37¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 30¢ bid, 35¢ ask, 5¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
6
Family volume
$983
Best sibling
Hannah Cruz 6¢
Ticker
KXTONYAWARDS-26BPACTRFRM-NIC
Market snapshot
Nichelle Lewis in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Nichelle Lewis win Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured Role in a Musical at the 79th Tony Awards?. The displayed quote is 37¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $52. In the KXTONYAWARDS-26BPACTRFRM family, this outcome ranks #2 of 6 by current quote across 6 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 13, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC.
Outcome
Nichelle Lewis
Family rank
#2 of 6
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
37¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Dec 31, 2026
24h volume
$52
Family context
6 outcomes · KXTONYAWARDS-26BPACTRFRM
Quote range
1¢-53¢
Family leader
Shoshana Bean 53¢
Last updated
May 13, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 5m ago
Venue identifier: KXTONYAWARDS-26BPACTRFRM-NIC. Family volume: $983.
Price history
37¢ current
+2¢Orderbook snapshot
30 / 35¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Nichelle Lewis has won Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured Role in a Musical at the 79th Tony Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
KXTONYAWARDS-26BPACTRFRM-NIC
Event family
KXTONYAWARDS-26BPACTRFRM.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$983
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Shoshana Bean 53¢
Current share
5%
Nichelle Lewis
kalshi · KXTONYAWARDS-26BPACTRFRM-NIC
Hannah Cruz
kalshi · KXTONYAWARDS-26BPACTRFRM-HAN
Shoshana Bean
kalshi · KXTONYAWARDS-26BPACTRFRM-SHO
Rachel Dratch
kalshi · KXTONYAWARDS-26BPACTRFRM-RAC
Ana Gasteyer
kalshi · KXTONYAWARDS-26BPACTRFRM-ANA
Tie
kalshi · KXTONYAWARDS-26BPACTRFRM-TIE
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 37% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.