SimpleFunctions

Oregon St · KXNCAABBPLAYOFFS-26

Oregon St. is priced at 29¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 12¢ bid, 29¢ ask, 17¢ spread. This outcome ranks #14 of 16 inside KXNCAABBPLAYOFFS-26.

Price history

29¢ current

+20¢
0¢25¢
Apr 27, 2026May 27, 2026

Contract brief

If Oregon St. qualifies for the College Baseball World Series in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Oregon St.

Rank

#14 of 16

Leader

Georgia Tech 74¢

Range

10¢-74¢

Family volume

$6K

Identifier

KXNCAABBPLAYOFFS-26-ORST

May 27, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC · 3m ago

Implied probability

29¢
Latest venue quote
May 27, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC · 3m ago

Bid

12¢

Ask

29¢

Spread

17¢

24h volume

$95

Family rank

#14 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNCAABBPLAYOFFS-26

Closes

Jun 26, 2026

Family volume

$6K

Orderbook snapshot

12 / 29¢

Kalshi
17¢ spread
BidSize
12¢35
11¢250
10¢1.0K
3¢38
2¢55
AskSize
29¢192
30¢200
57¢113
58¢129
59¢141

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Oregon St. qualifies for the College Baseball World Series in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 26, 2026

Identifier

KXNCAABBPLAYOFFS-26-ORST

SF Signal
SF Index
8844.10
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

8844.1%

IY (No)

164.5%

Adj IY

8844%

CRI

7

RV

3009%

VR

3.86

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

8844.1%
164.5%
Adj IY
8844%
7
RV
3009%
VR
3.86
IAR
1.4/h
Overround
6.3%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.