SimpleFunctions

PARTYNEXTDOOR · KXFEATURETRIPPIERED-27

PARTYNEXTDOOR is priced at 46¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 48¢ bid, 59¢ ask, 11¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 16 inside KXFEATURETRIPPIERED-27.

Price history

46¢ current

+1¢
25¢50¢
May 7, 2026Jun 6, 2026

Contract brief

If PARTYNEXTDOOR is featured on Trippie Red's next album before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

PARTYNEXTDOOR

Rank

#6 of 16

Leader

Young Thug 77¢

Range

2¢-77¢

Family volume

$230

Identifier

KXFEATURETRIPPIERED-27-PAR

Jun 6, 2026, 1:08 PM UTC · 7m ago

Implied probability

46¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 6, 2026, 1:08 PM UTC · 7m ago

Bid

48¢

Ask

59¢

Spread

11¢

Reported volume

$2K

Family rank

#6 of 16

16 outcomes · KXFEATURETRIPPIERED-27

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Family volume

$230

Orderbook snapshot

48 / 59¢

Kalshi
11¢ spread
BidSize
48¢2
46¢100
20¢62
13¢196
12¢32
AskSize
60¢122
78¢71
88¢404
89¢100

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If PARTYNEXTDOOR is featured on Trippie Red's next album before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXFEATURETRIPPIERED-27-PAR

SF Signal
SF Index
94.56
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

189.1%

IY (No)

161.1%

Adj IY

95%

CRI

1

Overround

5.6%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

cultural

Full indicator table

189.1%
161.1%
Adj IY
95%
1
Overround
5.6%

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Opinionanalysis

Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens

Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.

Blogtech

MCP Servers for Prediction Markets: Connect Claude Code to Kalshi and Polymarket

Connect Claude Code, Cursor, or Cline to Kalshi and Polymarket prediction markets via MCP. One-line setup, 18 tools, real-time market data for AI agents.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.