Will Lil Uzi Vert be featured on Trippie Red's next album
Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 31% across 20 Kalshi contracts.
Implied probability
Kalshi
31%
20 contracts
Polymarket
—
not bound
Cross-venue gap
—
single venue
24h move
—
no pin
24h volume
$182
20 contracts
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
162 days
30-day trend
Bracket families
20 clusters across 20 contracts.
These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.
Cluster 1
Will GloRilla be featured on Trippie Red's next album
Will GloRilla be featured on Trippie Red's next album?: GloRilla
KXFEATURETRIPPIERED-27-GLO
Cluster 2
Will BigXThaPlug be featured on Trippie Red's next album
Will BigXThaPlug be featured on Trippie Red's next album?: BigXThaPlug
KXFEATURETRIPPIERED-27-BIG
Cluster 3
Will Rema be featured on Trippie Red's next album
Will Rema be featured on Trippie Red's next album?: Rema
KXFEATURETRIPPIERED-27-REM
Cluster 4
Will PARTYNEXTDOOR be featured on Trippie Red's next album
Will PARTYNEXTDOOR be featured on Trippie Red's next album?: PARTYNEXTDOOR
KXFEATURETRIPPIERED-27-PAR
Cluster 5
Will 21 Savage be featured on Trippie Red's next album
Will 21 Savage be featured on Trippie Red's next album?: 21 Savage
KXFEATURETRIPPIERED-27-21S
Cluster 6
Will Chris Brown be featured on Trippie Red's next album
Will Chris Brown be featured on Trippie Red's next album?: Chris Brown
KXFEATURETRIPPIERED-27-CHR
Cluster 7
Will Doja Cat be featured on Trippie Red's next album
Will Doja Cat be featured on Trippie Red's next album?: Doja Cat
KXFEATURETRIPPIERED-27-DOJ
Cluster 8
Will Drake be featured on Trippie Red's next album
Will Drake be featured on Trippie Red's next album?: Drake
KXFEATURETRIPPIERED-27-DRA
Cluster 9
Will Future be featured on Trippie Red's next album
Will Future be featured on Trippie Red's next album?: Future
KXFEATURETRIPPIERED-27-FUT
Cluster 10
Will Key Glock be featured on Trippie Red's next album
Will Key Glock be featured on Trippie Red's next album?: Key Glock
KXFEATURETRIPPIERED-27-KEY
Cluster 11
Will Kodak Black be featured on Trippie Red's next album
Will Kodak Black be featured on Trippie Red's next album?: Kodak Black
KXFEATURETRIPPIERED-27-KOD
Cluster 12
Will Playboi Carti be featured on Trippie Red's next album
Will Playboi Carti be featured on Trippie Red's next album?: Playboi Carti
KXFEATURETRIPPIERED-27-PLA
Cluster 13
Will Quavo be featured on Trippie Red's next album
Will Quavo be featured on Trippie Red's next album?: Quavo
KXFEATURETRIPPIERED-27-QUA
Cluster 14
Will Sexyy Red be featured on Trippie Red's next album
Will Sexyy Red be featured on Trippie Red's next album?: Sexyy Red
KXFEATURETRIPPIERED-27-SEX
Cluster 15
Will Ski Mask The Slump God be featured on Trippie Red's next album
Will Ski Mask The Slump God be featured on Trippie Red's next album?: Ski Mask The Slump God
KXFEATURETRIPPIERED-27-SKI
Cluster 16
Will Swae Lee be featured on Trippie Red's next album
Will Swae Lee be featured on Trippie Red's next album?: Swae Lee
KXFEATURETRIPPIERED-27-SWA
Cluster 17
Will Travis Scott be featured on Trippie Red's next album
Will Travis Scott be featured on Trippie Red's next album?: Travis Scott
KXFEATURETRIPPIERED-27-TRA
Cluster 18
Will Lil Uzi Vert be featured on Trippie Red's next album
Will Lil Uzi Vert be featured on Trippie Red's next album?: Lil Uzi Vert
KXFEATURETRIPPIERED-27-UZI
Cluster 19
Will Lil Wayne be featured on Trippie Red's next album
Will Lil Wayne be featured on Trippie Red's next album?: Lil Wayne
KXFEATURETRIPPIERED-27-WAY
Cluster 20
Will The Weeknd be featured on Trippie Red's next album
Will The Weeknd be featured on Trippie Red's next album?: The Weeknd
KXFEATURETRIPPIERED-27-WEE
Analysis
This probability represents the likelihood that Lil Uzi Vert will appear as a featured artist on Trippie Red's next studio album. At 32%, the market suggests this collaboration is moderately unlikely, though far from improbable. The prediction reflects several dynamics: the historical frequency of Lil Uzi Vert and Trippie Red collaborations, their recent musical activity and public relationship, and patterns of feature selection on comparable rap and rock-leaning albums. The primary catalyst that would resolve this question is the release or announcement of Trippie Red's next album, at which point the feature list becomes known. Until that date, traders are weighing the artists' collaborative history against current industry signals about who appears on the project.
- ›Lil Uzi Vert and Trippie Red have collaborated previously; historical frequency of past features predicts future collaboration likelihood
- ›Recent public interactions, social media activity, and statements between the two artists suggest current relationship status and likelihood of studio time together
- ›Trippie Red's stated or reported album timeline and feature list—any leaks, announcements, or producer collaborations would narrow uncertainty
- ›BigXThaPlug and Lil Wayne carry higher probabilities (58¢ and 49¢) on comparable contracts, suggesting market expectations about Trippie Red's current collaborator network
- ›Album release date remains unknown; uncertainty persists until official announcement or leaked tracklist confirms or eliminates Lil Uzi Vert's involvement
What moved the line
- Jul 20Drake↓6pp13→7¢ · Kalshi
- Jul 21Rema↓3pp48→45¢ · Kalshi
- Jul 21Kodak Black↓3pp41→38¢ · Kalshi
- Jul 17Lil Wayne↑3pp45→48¢ · Kalshi
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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