SimpleFunctions
20 source contracts·Kalshi 20·refreshed just now·Closes Jan 1, 2027 · 162d

Will Lil Uzi Vert be featured on Trippie Red's next album

Liquidity-weighted aggregate sits at 31% across 20 Kalshi contracts.

Implied probability

31%
0%50%100%

Kalshi

31%

20 contracts

Polymarket

not bound

Cross-venue gap

single venue

24h move

no pin

24h volume

$182

20 contracts

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

162 days

30-day trend

0%50%100%-30d-3w-2w-1wtodayAggregate: 51% (30 days, 30 points)Aggregate: 51% on 2026-07-23
Aggregate of 20 contracts · 30d

Bracket families

20 clusters across 20 contracts.

These contracts were grouped by title similarity. The headline aggregate combines all clusters; verify the cluster you actually need before quoting a number.

Cluster 1

Will GloRilla be featured on Trippie Red's next album

1 contract$105

Cluster 2

Will BigXThaPlug be featured on Trippie Red's next album

1 contract$41

Cluster 3

Will Rema be featured on Trippie Red's next album

1 contract$31

Cluster 4

Will PARTYNEXTDOOR be featured on Trippie Red's next album

1 contract$5

Cluster 5

Will 21 Savage be featured on Trippie Red's next album

1 contract$0

Cluster 6

Will Chris Brown be featured on Trippie Red's next album

1 contract$0

Cluster 7

Will Doja Cat be featured on Trippie Red's next album

1 contract$0

Cluster 8

Will Drake be featured on Trippie Red's next album

1 contract$0

Cluster 9

Will Future be featured on Trippie Red's next album

1 contract$0

Cluster 10

Will Key Glock be featured on Trippie Red's next album

1 contract$0

Cluster 11

Will Kodak Black be featured on Trippie Red's next album

1 contract$0

Cluster 12

Will Playboi Carti be featured on Trippie Red's next album

1 contract$0

Cluster 13

Will Quavo be featured on Trippie Red's next album

1 contract$0

Cluster 14

Will Sexyy Red be featured on Trippie Red's next album

1 contract$0

Cluster 15

Will Ski Mask The Slump God be featured on Trippie Red's next album

1 contract$0

Cluster 16

Will Swae Lee be featured on Trippie Red's next album

1 contract$0

Cluster 17

Will Travis Scott be featured on Trippie Red's next album

1 contract$0

Cluster 18

Will Lil Uzi Vert be featured on Trippie Red's next album

1 contract$0

Cluster 19

Will Lil Wayne be featured on Trippie Red's next album

1 contract$0

Cluster 20

Will The Weeknd be featured on Trippie Red's next album

1 contract$0

Analysis

This probability represents the likelihood that Lil Uzi Vert will appear as a featured artist on Trippie Red's next studio album. At 32%, the market suggests this collaboration is moderately unlikely, though far from improbable. The prediction reflects several dynamics: the historical frequency of Lil Uzi Vert and Trippie Red collaborations, their recent musical activity and public relationship, and patterns of feature selection on comparable rap and rock-leaning albums. The primary catalyst that would resolve this question is the release or announcement of Trippie Red's next album, at which point the feature list becomes known. Until that date, traders are weighing the artists' collaborative history against current industry signals about who appears on the project.

  • Lil Uzi Vert and Trippie Red have collaborated previously; historical frequency of past features predicts future collaboration likelihood
  • Recent public interactions, social media activity, and statements between the two artists suggest current relationship status and likelihood of studio time together
  • Trippie Red's stated or reported album timeline and feature list—any leaks, announcements, or producer collaborations would narrow uncertainty
  • BigXThaPlug and Lil Wayne carry higher probabilities (58¢ and 49¢) on comparable contracts, suggesting market expectations about Trippie Red's current collaborator network
  • Album release date remains unknown; uncertainty persists until official announcement or leaked tracklist confirms or eliminates Lil Uzi Vert's involvement

What moved the line

  • Jul 20Drake6pp137¢ · Kalshi
  • Jul 21Rema3pp4845¢ · Kalshi
  • Jul 21Kodak Black3pp4138¢ · Kalshi
  • Jul 17Lil Wayne3pp4548¢ · Kalshi

Recently closed in entertainment

These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

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