SimpleFunctions

BigXThaPlug · KXFEATURETRIPPIERED-27

BigXThaPlug is priced at 57¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 57¢ bid, 70¢ ask, 13¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 16 inside KXFEATURETRIPPIERED-27.

Price history

57¢ current

55¢60¢
Jun 29, 2026Jul 23, 2026

Contract brief

If BigXThaPlug is featured on Trippie Red's next album before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

BigXThaPlug

Rank

#4 of 16

Leader

Quavo 75¢

Range

5¢-75¢

Family volume

$182

Identifier

KXFEATURETRIPPIERED-27-BIG

Jul 23, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC · 1h ago

Implied probability

57¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 23, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC · 1h ago

Bid

57¢

Ask

70¢

Spread

13¢

24h volume

$41

Family rank

#4 of 16

16 outcomes · KXFEATURETRIPPIERED-27

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Family volume

$182

Orderbook snapshot

57 / 70¢

Kalshi
13¢ spread
BidSize
57¢100
56¢1
19¢166
18¢179
7¢1
AskSize
70¢100
89¢49
90¢78
91¢207
92¢100

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If BigXThaPlug is featured on Trippie Red's next album before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXFEATURETRIPPIERED-27-BIG

SF Signal
SF Index
298.33
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

169.8%

IY (No)

298.3%

Adj IY

298%

CRI

1

RV

118%

VR

0.93

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

169.8%
298.3%
Adj IY
298%
1
RV
118%
VR
0.93
IAR
0.3/h
Overround
6.2%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.