SimpleFunctions

Patt win the Off The Dribble 1v1 between Tello and Patt

Patt is priced at 41¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 37¢ bid, 45¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXOTDBASKETBALL-26MAY30PATTTELL.

Price history

41¢ current

+37¢
0¢25¢50¢
May 22, 2026May 24, 2026

Contract brief

If Patt wins the Off The Dribble 1v1 matchup between Tello and Patt originally scheduled for May 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Patt

Rank

#2 of 2

Leader

Tello 55¢

Range

37¢-55¢

Family volume

$704

Identifier

KXOTDBASKETBALL-26MAY30PATTTELL-PATT

May 24, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · 9m ago

Implied probability

41¢
Bid/ask midpoint
May 24, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · 9m ago

Bid

37¢

Ask

45¢

Spread

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#2 of 2

2 outcomes · KXOTDBASKETBALL-26MAY30PATTTELL

Closes

Jun 13, 2026

Family volume

$704

Orderbook snapshot

37 / 45¢

Kalshi
8¢ spread
BidSize
37¢150
35¢300
22¢23
21¢91
20¢120
AskSize
45¢94
46¢150
47¢300
58¢26
59¢36

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Patt wins the Off The Dribble 1v1 matchup between Tello and Patt originally scheduled for May 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 13, 2026

Identifier

KXOTDBASKETBALL-26MAY30PATTTELL-PATT

SF Signal
SF Index
1544.53
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXOTDBASKETBALL-26MAY30PATTTELL.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$704

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Tello 55¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

3089.1%
1065.5%
Adj IY
1545%
2

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.