SimpleFunctions

Tello win the Off The Dribble 1v1 between Tello and Patt

Tello is priced at 62¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 63¢ bid, 66¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXOTDBASKETBALL-26MAY30PATTTELL.

Price history

62¢ current

+16¢
0¢25¢50¢
May 16, 2026May 27, 2026

Contract brief

If Tello wins the Off The Dribble 1v1 matchup between Tello and Patt originally scheduled for May 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Tello

Rank

#1 of 2

Leader

Tello 63¢

Range

34¢-63¢

Family volume

$51

Identifier

KXOTDBASKETBALL-26MAY30PATTTELL-TELL

May 27, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 10m ago

Implied probability

62¢
Latest venue quote
May 27, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 10m ago

Bid

63¢

Ask

66¢

Spread

24h volume

$51

Family rank

#1 of 2

2 outcomes · KXOTDBASKETBALL-26MAY30PATTTELL

Closes

Jun 13, 2026

Family volume

$51

Orderbook snapshot

63 / 66¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
63¢88
57¢50
55¢100
47¢75
46¢90
AskSize
66¢154
67¢100
79¢24
80¢58
81¢109

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Tello wins the Off The Dribble 1v1 matchup between Tello and Patt originally scheduled for May 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 13, 2026

Identifier

KXOTDBASKETBALL-26MAY30PATTTELL-TELL

SF Signal
SF Index
3483.02
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXOTDBASKETBALL-26MAY30PATTTELL.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$51

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Tello 63¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1261.4%

IY (No)

3657.1%

Adj IY

3483%

CRI

2

RV

15152%

VR

4.56

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1261.4%
3657.1%
Adj IY
3483%
2
RV
15152%
VR
4.56
IAR
0.7/h
LAS
0.05

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.