What is the current probability for "Will Phil McGraw join the Trump administration?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 12¢ (12% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on July 1, 2026. 53 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Phil McGraw join the Trump administration?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 7945.7% and 60.1% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Phil McGraw join the Trump administration?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

KalshiJul 1, 202653 days left

Will Phil McGraw join the Trump administration?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

This contract is priced at 12¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 8¢ bid, 12¢ ask, 4¢ spread.

Open on Kalshi JSON + orderbook Enter terminal

Implied probability

12¢

$37 volume

$37 liquidity

Event outcomes

Family volume

Best sibling

Glenn Youngkin 10¢

Ticker

KXJOINTRUMPADMIN-26JUL01-PMCG

Market snapshot

Phil McGraw in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Phil McGraw join the Trump administration?. The displayed quote is 12¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $37. In the KXJOINTRUMPADMIN-26JUL01 family, this outcome ranks #2 of 11 by current quote across 11 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

Phil McGraw

Family rank

#2 of 11

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

12¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jul 1, 2026

Reported volume

$37

Family context

11 outcomes · KXJOINTRUMPADMIN-26JUL01

Quote range

1¢-10¢

Family leader

Glenn Youngkin 10¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 11m ago

Venue identifier: KXJOINTRUMPADMIN-26JUL01-PMCG. Family volume: —.

Price history

12¢ current

+4¢

25¢50¢75¢100¢

Apr 11, 2026May 6, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

8 / 12¢

Kalshi

4¢ spread

BidSize

8¢6

7¢250

4¢100

3¢84

2¢200

AskSize

12¢287

13¢20

14¢200

97¢66

97¢5.0K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Phil McGraw joins the Presidential Administration before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 1, 2026

Identifier

KXJOINTRUMPADMIN-26JUL01-PMCG

Event family

KXJOINTRUMPADMIN-26JUL01.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

Outcomes

Highest price

Glenn Youngkin 10¢

Current share

—

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Phil McGraw

kalshi · KXJOINTRUMPADMIN-26JUL01-PMCG

8¢$0$0—

Glenn Youngkin

kalshi · KXJOINTRUMPADMIN-26JUL01-GYOU