Will Pope Leo XIV visit New York City before Jun 1, 2026?
This contract is priced at 2¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 1¢ bid, 2¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
7
Family volume
$466
Best sibling
Donald Trump 12¢
Ticker
KXVISITNYC-26JUN01-LXIVNYC
Market snapshot
Pope Leo XIV in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Pope Leo XIV visit New York City before Jun 1, 2026?. The displayed quote is 2¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $1. In the KXVISITNYC-26JUN01 family, this outcome ranks #6 of 7 by current quote across 7 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 7:28 PM UTC.
Outcome
Pope Leo XIV
Family rank
#6 of 7
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
2¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Jun 1, 2026
24h volume
$1
Family context
7 outcomes · KXVISITNYC-26JUN01
Quote range
1¢-12¢
Family leader
Donald Trump 12¢
Last updated
May 11, 2026, 7:28 PM UTC · 0m ago
Venue identifier: KXVISITNYC-26JUN01-LXIVNYC. Family volume: $466.
Price history
2¢ current
+1¢Orderbook snapshot
1 / 2¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Pope Leo XIV has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of New York City before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 1, 2026
Identifier
KXVISITNYC-26JUN01-LXIVNYC
Event family
KXVISITNYC-26JUN01.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$466
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Donald Trump 12¢
Current share
0%
Pope Leo XIV
kalshi · KXVISITNYC-26JUN01-LXIVNYC
Donald Trump
kalshi · KXVISITNYC-26JUN01-DJTNYC
Miguel Díaz‑Canel
kalshi · KXVISITNYC-26JUN01-MDIANYC
Elon Musk
kalshi · KXVISITNYC-26JUN01-EMUSNYC
Benjamin Netanyahu
kalshi · KXVISITNYC-26JUN01-BNETNYC
Xi Jinping
kalshi · KXVISITNYC-26JUN01-XJINNYC
Greta Thunberg
kalshi · KXVISITNYC-26JUN01-GTHUNYC
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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World State API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.