SimpleFunctions

Rafael Jodar · KXFOMEN-26

Rafael Jodar is priced at 11¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 10¢ bid, 11¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 16 inside KXFOMEN-26.

Price history

11¢ current

+5¢
0¢10¢
May 23, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Rafael Jodar wins the 2026 French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Rafael Jodar

Rank

#4 of 16

Leader

Alexander Zverev 32¢

Range

1¢-32¢

Family volume

$3.6M

Identifier

KXFOMEN-26-JOD

May 28, 2026, 2:08 PM UTC · 10m ago

Implied probability

11¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 2:08 PM UTC · 10m ago

Bid

10¢

Ask

11¢

Spread

24h volume

$368K

Family rank

#4 of 16

16 outcomes · KXFOMEN-26

Closes

Jul 8, 2026

Family volume

$3.6M

Orderbook snapshot

10 / 11¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
10¢7.9K
9¢2.4K
8¢1.8K
7¢200
4¢31
AskSize
11¢49K
13¢2.1K
14¢2.0K
15¢216
16¢30K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Rafael Jodar wins the 2026 French Open professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 8, 2026

Identifier

KXFOMEN-26-JOD

SF Signal
SF Index
8002.48
Regime
neutral

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on polymarket at 10¢, +1¢ versus this page.

View counterpart

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

9002.7%

IY (No)

88.1%

Adj IY

8002%

CRI

10

RV

1251%

VR

0.58

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

9002.7%
88.1%
Adj IY
8002%
10
RV
1251%
VR
0.58
IAR
0.3/h
Overround
-0.0%
LAS
0.11

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.