Will Republican win the House race for VA-05?
This contract is priced at 24¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 16¢ bid, 33¢ ask, 17¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
2
Family volume
$975
Best sibling
Democratic party 52¢
Ticker
KXHOUSERACE-VA05-26-R
Price history
24¢ current
Orderbook snapshot
16 / 33¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If the House member sworn in for VA-05 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXHOUSERACE-VA05-26-R
Event family
KXHOUSERACE-VA05-26.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$975
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Democratic party 52¢
Current share
55%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
Full indicator table
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