SimpleFunctions
KalshiNov 3, 2027549 days left

Will Democratic win the House race for VA-05?

This contract is priced at 72¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 52¢ bid, 80¢ ask, 28¢ spread.

Implied probability

72¢
$7K volume
$4K liquidity
760% of event volume

Event outcomes

2

Family volume

$975

Best sibling

Republican party 20¢

Ticker

KXHOUSERACE-VA05-26-D

Price history

72¢ current

+1¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

52 / 80¢

Kalshi
28¢ spread
BidSize
52¢100
51¢155
22¢47
21¢226
20¢349
AskSize
80¢5
89¢325
90¢500
98¢10K
98¢1.3K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the House member sworn in for VA-05 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 3, 2027

Identifier

KXHOUSERACE-VA05-26-D

Event family

KXHOUSERACE-VA05-26.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$975

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Democratic party 57¢

Current share

45%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

61.4%
72.0%
Adj IY
15%
1
LAS
0.60

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