SimpleFunctions
KalshiDec 29, 2026234 days left

Will ROSALÍA have a top 20 song this year?

This contract is priced at 11¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 5¢ bid, 11¢ ask, 6¢ spread.

Implied probability

11¢
$231 volume
$226 liquidity
2058% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$11

Best sibling

Travis Scott 45¢

Ticker

KX20SONG-26DEC26-ROS

Market snapshot

ROSALÍA in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will ROSALÍA have a top 20 song this year?. The displayed quote is 11¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $231. In the KX20SONG-26DEC26 family, this outcome ranks #14 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

ROSALÍA

Family rank

#14 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

11¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Dec 29, 2026

Reported volume

$231

Family context

16 outcomes · KX20SONG-26DEC26

Quote range

2¢-99¢

Family leader

Drake 99¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 12m ago

Venue identifier: KX20SONG-26DEC26-ROS. Family volume: $11.

Price history

11¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 9, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

5 / 11¢

Kalshi
6¢ spread
BidSize
100¢975
5¢200
4¢128
2¢200
AskSize
11¢246
16¢200
24¢450
40¢450
68¢6

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If ROSALÍA has a top 20 single on the Billboard Hot 100 by the Billboard issue for Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 29, 2026

Identifier

KX20SONG-26DEC26-ROS

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2959.7%

IY (No)

8.2%

Adj IY

0%

CRI

19

Overround

14.2%

LAS

1.20

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2959.7%
8.2%
Adj IY
0%
19
Overround
14.2%
LAS
1.20

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