Will Sam Altman attend any part of Donald Trump’s first visit to China after Issuance?
This contract is priced at 6¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 10¢ bid, 20¢ ask, 10¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
11
Family volume
$27K
Best sibling
Elon Musk 89¢
Ticker
KXATTENDTRUMPCHINA-27JAN-SALT
Market snapshot
Sam Altman in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Sam Altman attend any part of Donald Trump’s first visit to China after Issuance?. The displayed quote is 6¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $929. In the KXATTENDTRUMPCHINA-27JAN family, this outcome ranks #8 of 11 by current quote across 11 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 7:23 PM UTC.
Outcome
Sam Altman
Family rank
#8 of 11
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
6¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Jan 1, 2027
24h volume
$929
Family context
11 outcomes · KXATTENDTRUMPCHINA-27JAN
Quote range
3¢-92¢
Family leader
Larry Fink 92¢
Last updated
May 11, 2026, 7:23 PM UTC · 5m ago
Venue identifier: KXATTENDTRUMPCHINA-27JAN-SALT. Family volume: $27K.
Price history
6¢ current
−30¢Orderbook snapshot
10 / 20¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Sam Altman attends any part of Donald Trump’s first visit to China after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXATTENDTRUMPCHINA-27JAN-SALT
Event family
KXATTENDTRUMPCHINA-27JAN.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$27K
Outcomes
11
Highest price
Larry Fink 92¢
Current share
3%
Sam Altman
kalshi · KXATTENDTRUMPCHINA-27JAN-SALT
Elon Musk
kalshi · KXATTENDTRUMPCHINA-27JAN-EMUS
Jensen Huang
kalshi · KXATTENDTRUMPCHINA-27JAN-JHUA
Larry Fink
kalshi · KXATTENDTRUMPCHINA-27JAN-LFIN
Tim Cook
kalshi · KXATTENDTRUMPCHINA-27JAN-TCOO
Jamie Dimon
kalshi · KXATTENDTRUMPCHINA-27JAN-JDIM
Howard Lutnick
kalshi · KXATTENDTRUMPCHINA-27JAN-HLUT
Darren Woods
kalshi · KXATTENDTRUMPCHINA-27JAN-DWOO
Steve Schwarzman
kalshi · KXATTENDTRUMPCHINA-27JAN-SSCH
Marco Rubio
kalshi · KXATTENDTRUMPCHINA-27JAN-MRUB
Dario Amodei
kalshi · KXATTENDTRUMPCHINA-27JAN-DAMO
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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World State API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.