Sam Gallucci · KXCAPRIMARY-2626
Sam Gallucci is priced at 71¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 70¢ bid, 71¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 9 inside KXCAPRIMARY-2626.
Price history
71¢ current
Contract brief
If Sam Gallucci advances in the 2026 CA-26 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Sam Gallucci
Rank
#2 of 9
Leader
Jacqui Irwin 94¢
Range
1¢-94¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXCAPRIMARY-2626-SGAL
May 24, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 18m ago
Implied probability
Bid
70¢
Ask
71¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#2 of 9
9 outcomes · KXCAPRIMARY-2626
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
70 / 71¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Sam Gallucci advances in the 2026 CA-26 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXCAPRIMARY-2626-SGAL
Event family
KXCAPRIMARY-2626.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
9
Highest price
Jacqui Irwin 94¢
Current share
—
Jacqui Irwin
kalshi · KXCAPRIMARY-2626-JIRW
Sam Gallucci
kalshi · KXCAPRIMARY-2626-SGAL
Chris Espinosa
kalshi · KXCAPRIMARY-2626-CESP
Daniel Miller
kalshi · KXCAPRIMARY-2626-DMIL
Liam Hernandez
kalshi · KXCAPRIMARY-2626-LHER
Michael Koslow
kalshi · KXCAPRIMARY-2626-MKOS
Sonia Kacker
kalshi · KXCAPRIMARY-2626-SKAC
Sasan Samadzadeh
kalshi · KXCAPRIMARY-2626-SSAM
William Scott
kalshi · KXCAPRIMARY-2626-WSCO
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.432
Observability
medium
Event type
political
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 71% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.