Will Scott Meyers advance in the 2026 CA-30 primary?
This contract is priced at 84¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 78¢ bid, 85¢ ask, 7¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
7
Family volume
$700
Best sibling
Dennis Feitosa 11¢
Ticker
KXCAPRIMARY-3026-SMEY
Market snapshot
Scott Meyers in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Scott Meyers advance in the 2026 CA-30 primary?. The displayed quote is 84¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $300. In the KXCAPRIMARY-3026 family, this outcome ranks #2 of 7 by current quote across 7 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 9:53 PM UTC.
Outcome
Scott Meyers
Family rank
#2 of 7
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
84¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Nov 3, 2027
24h volume
$300
Family context
7 outcomes · KXCAPRIMARY-3026
Quote range
1¢-97¢
Family leader
Laura Friedman 97¢
Last updated
May 11, 2026, 9:53 PM UTC · 14m ago
Venue identifier: KXCAPRIMARY-3026-SMEY. Family volume: $700.
Price history
84¢ current
+45¢Orderbook snapshot
78 / 85¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Scott Meyers advances in the 2026 CA-30 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXCAPRIMARY-3026-SMEY
Event family
KXCAPRIMARY-3026.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$700
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Laura Friedman 97¢
Current share
43%
Scott Meyers
kalshi · KXCAPRIMARY-3026-SMEY
Dennis Feitosa
kalshi · KXCAPRIMARY-3026-DFEI
Laura Friedman
kalshi · KXCAPRIMARY-3026-LFRI
John Armenian
kalshi · KXCAPRIMARY-3026-JARM
Pini Herman
kalshi · KXCAPRIMARY-3026-PHER
Joel Lava
kalshi · KXCAPRIMARY-3026-JLAV
Cameron Tennyson
kalshi · KXCAPRIMARY-3026-CTEN
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.