SIENNA SPIRO · KXALBUMRELEASE-26
SIENNA SPIRO is priced at 96¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 98¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside KXALBUMRELEASE-26.
Price history
96¢ current
+6¢Contract brief
If SIENNA SPIRO releases a new album in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
SIENNA SPIRO
Rank
#1 of 16
Leader
SIENNA SPIRO 98¢
Range
19¢-98¢
Family volume
$4K
Identifier
KXALBUMRELEASE-26-SIE
May 27, 2026, 11:34 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
98¢
Ask
100¢
Spread
2¢
Reported volume
$2K
Family rank
#1 of 16
16 outcomes · KXALBUMRELEASE-26
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$4K
Orderbook snapshot
98 / 100¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If SIENNA SPIRO releases a new album in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXALBUMRELEASE-26-SIE
Event family
KXALBUMRELEASE-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$4K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
SIENNA SPIRO 98¢
Current share
0%
SIENNA SPIRO
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-SIE
Gracie Abrams
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-GRA
Shaboozey
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-SHA
Quavo
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-QUA
Clairo
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-CLA
Lana Del Rey
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-LAN
Nicki Minaj
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-NIC
Sam Smith
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-SAM
SZA
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-SZA
21 Savage
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-21S
Dua Lipa
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-CUA
Pharrell Williams
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-PHA
Tyler, The Creator
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-TYLE
The Weeknd
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-WEE
Geese
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-GEE
Daniel Caesar
kalshi · KXALBUMRELEASE-26-DAN
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.