↓ $45 · Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June
↓ $45 is priced at 2¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 1¢ bid, 2¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 16 inside Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June?.
Price history
2¢ current
−48¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Silver (SI) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Outcome
↓ $45
Rank
#6 of 16
Leader
↑ $85 42¢
Range
1¢-42¢
Family volume
$3.9M
Identifier
0xe0c4e199...4f94
May 28, 2026, 7:20 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
1¢
Ask
2¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$144K
Family rank
#6 of 16
16 outcomes · Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June?
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Family volume
$3.9M
Orderbook snapshot
1 / 2¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Silver (SI) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Identifier
0xe0c4e199…4f94
Event family
Will Silver (SI) hit__ by end of June.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$3.9M
Outcomes
16
Highest price
↑ $85 42¢
Current share
4%
↑ $85
polymarket · 0xebb1ea662b616493063f6e4a7beaff2cf35f4b465fbb023a4bb15ded9c012dff
↓ $65
polymarket · 0xa43ad4037543d8376fe6bc828997820cc197ceb86d8c8f51b33b95c6676078cf
↓ $60
polymarket · 0x898e9ff5045fcd05c26ea1e956d926c191d5aecae1bc184283c94e665f0f7be5
↑ $100
polymarket · 0x5d58553c3583b535dfaa93c55de4eaddc37c60487d058430668311733b08ae1c
↓ $55
polymarket · 0xf29ba3bae0662b6f977f4918ad07ce6ea1c9d49bbc63a9145a2973cc829d245e
↑ $120
polymarket · 0x1b252df7e5281d8fb86888619f4ee1f5045c9f2aecb857d361819ca6522e4665
↓ $45
polymarket · 0xe0c4e1990640ac0d2aac60f7711036191897bdeae1a1c90e5f922d0f83a34f94
↑ $110
polymarket · 0xa2c23fd5bffeed929da54e44ef1775dc9d6772a5e23bc6010b692874a4879ba4
↑ $200
polymarket · 0x35241fd758ba0da8bc3d7df2706aaf87d8420c5004ae3c4ceaa07b432f955850
↑ $150
polymarket · 0xbb6db11fa76323814a73cd76cdaa459f502078166bf5810e6de1b013af7334f8
↑ $250
polymarket · 0x2e034ceb0544227ee4c8a11c650cf7c1bb977e63b73e03992a23e4778686de22
↑ $210
polymarket · 0x077b60b7261e4a474def4863f80c432368debf93208bf3647b4e21b784e2a4aa
↑ $130
polymarket · 0x27651d9f3426ef2a4f907aa78f2ed69cdb22f2570d5c05d85f6f998b5b5a4524
↑ $170
polymarket · 0xa7917e7d6769c541fb3002db0e61c898d4a1fee139f50fbcfdf71fd7b78fcb22
↓ $35
polymarket · 0x36d8503ac63c0e55c3926fc9a903aee46ad2e1b28532af32f239eeda4aa6dbaa
↑ $230
polymarket · 0x42906a6d7941e5a8a92cdb9d413a84c198e5fcb110bda21341f1dadaefc78908
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.364
Observability
low
Event type
financial
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.