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KalshiJun 1, 202620 days left

Will SOL trimmed mean be above $105.00 by 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026?

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 11 May 2026Methodology

This contract is priced at 45¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 43¢ bid, 47¢ ask, 4¢ spread.

Implied probability

45¢
$37K volume
$26K liquidity
202% of event volume

Event outcomes

6

Family volume

$18K

Best sibling

Above $100.00 76¢

Ticker

KXSOLMAXMON-SOL-26MAY31-10500

Market snapshot

Above $105.00 in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will SOL trimmed mean be above $105.00 by 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026?. The displayed quote is 45¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $6K. In the Will SOL trimmed mean be above $1 family, this outcome ranks #2 of 6 by current quote across 6 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC.

Outcome

Above $105.00

Family rank

#2 of 6

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

45¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jun 1, 2026

24h volume

$6K

Family context

6 outcomes · Will SOL trimmed mean be above $1

Quote range

3¢-76¢

Family leader

Above $100.00 76¢

Last updated

May 11, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 12m ago

Venue identifier: KXSOLMAXMON-SOL-26MAY31-10500. Family volume: $18K.

Price history

45¢ current

+34¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 1, 2026May 11, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

43 / 47¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
43¢372
42¢500
41¢121
40¢3.0K
29¢373
AskSize
47¢25
48¢500
49¢10
50¢168
51¢3.0K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the price of SOL after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on May 31, 2026 is ever above $ 105.00, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 1, 2026

Identifier

KXSOLMAXMON-SOL-26MAY31-10500

SF Signal
SF Index
2152.23
Regime
taker

Event family

Will SOL trimmed mean be above $1.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$18K

Outcomes

6

Highest price

Above $100.00 76¢

Current share

35%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2372.9%

IY (No)

1350.4%

Adj IY

2152%

CRI

1

RV

1220%

VR

1.96

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

2372.9%
1350.4%
Adj IY
2152%
1
RV
1220%
VR
1.96
IAR
4.6/h
Overround
0.8%
LAS
0.09

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.