Spencer Pratt · KXLAMAYORADVANCE-26JUN02
Spencer Pratt is priced at 71¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 70¢ bid, 71¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside KXLAMAYORADVANCE-26JUN02.
Price history
71¢ current
Contract brief
If Spencer Pratt is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Spencer Pratt
Rank
#2 of 3
Leader
Karen Bass 90¢
Range
29¢-90¢
Family volume
$33K
Identifier
KXLAMAYORADVANCE-26JUN02-SPRA
May 28, 2026, 3:38 PM UTC · 2m ago
Implied probability
Bid
70¢
Ask
71¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$21K
Family rank
#2 of 3
3 outcomes · KXLAMAYORADVANCE-26JUN02
Closes
Jun 1, 2028
Family volume
$33K
Orderbook snapshot
70 / 71¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Spencer Pratt is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 1, 2028
Identifier
KXLAMAYORADVANCE-26JUN02-SPRA
Event family
KXLAMAYORADVANCE-26JUN02.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$33K
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Karen Bass 90¢
Current share
63%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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Event Probability API
Read 71% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.