SimpleFunctions

Stanford · KXNCAAFGAME-26AUG29HAWSTAN

Stanford is priced at 69¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 49¢ bid, 69¢ ask, 20¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXNCAAFGAME-26AUG29HAWSTAN.

Price history

69¢ current

+27¢
50¢
May 20, 2026May 26, 2026

Contract brief

If Stanford wins the Hawai'i vs Stanford college football game originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Stanford

Rank

#1 of 2

Leader

Stanford 49¢

Range

30¢-49¢

Family volume

$10

Identifier

KXNCAAFGAME-26AUG29HAWSTAN-STAN

May 28, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 18m ago

Implied probability

69¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 18m ago

Bid

49¢

Ask

69¢

Spread

20¢

24h volume

$10

Family rank

#1 of 2

2 outcomes · KXNCAAFGAME-26AUG29HAWSTAN

Closes

Aug 31, 2026

Family volume

$10

Orderbook snapshot

49 / 69¢

Kalshi
20¢ spread
BidSize
49¢148
43¢229
42¢333
11¢1.6K
7¢300
AskSize
69¢20
71¢198
82¢252
87¢243
90¢800

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Stanford wins the Hawai'i vs Stanford college football game originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 31, 2026

Identifier

KXNCAAFGAME-26AUG29HAWSTAN-STAN

SF Signal
SF Index
198.56
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXNCAAFGAME-26AUG29HAWSTAN.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$10

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Stanford 49¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

397.1%
366.6%
Adj IY
199%
1

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.