Hawai'i · KXNCAAFGAME-26AUG29HAWSTAN
Hawai'i is priced at 49¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 32¢ bid, 50¢ ask, 18¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXNCAAFGAME-26AUG29HAWSTAN.
Price history
49¢ current
+39¢Contract brief
If Hawai'i wins the Hawai'i vs Stanford college football game originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Hawai'i
Rank
#2 of 2
Leader
Stanford 50¢
Range
32¢-50¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXNCAAFGAME-26AUG29HAWSTAN-HAW
May 25, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 4m ago
Implied probability
Bid
32¢
Ask
50¢
Spread
18¢
24h volume
$0
Family rank
#2 of 2
2 outcomes · KXNCAAFGAME-26AUG29HAWSTAN
Closes
Aug 31, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
32 / 50¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Hawai'i wins the Hawai'i vs Stanford college football game originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 31, 2026
Identifier
KXNCAAFGAME-26AUG29HAWSTAN-HAW
Event family
KXNCAAFGAME-26AUG29HAWSTAN.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Stanford 50¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 49% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.