SimpleFunctions

Stray Kids · KXALBUMRELEASE-26

Stray Kids is priced at 95¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 86¢ bid, 92¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 16 inside KXALBUMRELEASE-26.

Price history

95¢ current

+8¢
90¢
May 15, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Stray Kids releases a new album in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Stray Kids

Rank

#3 of 16

Leader

Olivia Rodrigo 99¢

Range

11¢-99¢

Family volume

$512

Identifier

KXALBUMRELEASE-26-STR

May 28, 2026, 2:38 PM UTC · 24m ago

Implied probability

95¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 2:38 PM UTC · 24m ago

Bid

86¢

Ask

92¢

Spread

Reported volume

$939

Family rank

#3 of 16

16 outcomes · KXALBUMRELEASE-26

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Family volume

$512

Orderbook snapshot

86 / 92¢

Kalshi
6¢ spread
BidSize
100¢511
86¢94
80¢400
3¢130
AskSize
92¢400
97¢201
98¢200
99¢200

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Stray Kids releases a new album in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXALBUMRELEASE-26-STR

SF Signal
SF Index
561.29
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

Artist 2026 Album Release Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXALBUMRELEASE series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

25.1%

IY (No)

1122.6%

Adj IY

561%

CRI

7

Overround

37.6%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

25.1%
1122.6%
Adj IY
561%
7
Overround
37.6%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.