SimpleFunctions

Ice Spice · KXALBUMRELEASE-26

Ice Spice is priced at 60¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 51¢ bid, 59¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 16 inside KXALBUMRELEASE-26.

Price history

60¢ current

+7¢
50¢60¢
May 4, 2026May 23, 2026

Contract brief

If Ice Spice releases a new album in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Ice Spice

Rank

#7 of 16

Leader

Olivia Rodrigo 99¢

Range

12¢-99¢

Family volume

$886

Identifier

KXALBUMRELEASE-26-ICE

May 24, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 24m ago

Implied probability

60¢
Latest venue quote
May 24, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 24m ago

Bid

51¢

Ask

59¢

Spread

Reported volume

$602

Family rank

#7 of 16

16 outcomes · KXALBUMRELEASE-26

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Family volume

$886

Orderbook snapshot

51 / 59¢

Kalshi
8¢ spread
BidSize
51¢400
44¢80
6¢13
5¢31
2¢45
AskSize
59¢400
65¢101
66¢100
88¢52
89¢66

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Ice Spice releases a new album in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXALBUMRELEASE-26-ICE

SF Signal
SF Index
72.30
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

Artist 2026 Album Release Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXALBUMRELEASE series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

158.3%

IY (No)

171.5%

Adj IY

72%

CRI

1

Overround

38.0%

LAS

0.16

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

158.3%
171.5%
Adj IY
72%
1
Overround
38.0%
LAS
0.16

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.