Will Sydney Kamlager-Dove advance in the 2026 CA-37 primary?
This contract is priced at 97¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 91¢ bid, 99¢ ask, 8¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
9
Family volume
$7
Best sibling
Samantha Mota 4¢
Ticker
KXCAPRIMARY-3726-SKAM
Market snapshot
Sydney Kamlager-Dove in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Sydney Kamlager-Dove advance in the 2026 CA-37 primary?. The displayed quote is 97¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $12K. In the KXCAPRIMARY-3726 family, this outcome ranks #1 of 9 by current quote across 9 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 9:53 PM UTC.
Outcome
Sydney Kamlager-Dove
Family rank
#1 of 9
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
97¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Nov 3, 2027
Reported volume
$12K
Family context
9 outcomes · KXCAPRIMARY-3726
Quote range
4¢-91¢
Family leader
Sydney Kamlager-Dove 91¢
Last updated
May 11, 2026, 9:53 PM UTC · 14m ago
Venue identifier: KXCAPRIMARY-3726-SKAM. Family volume: $7.
Price history
97¢ current
+3¢Orderbook snapshot
91 / 99¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Sydney Kamlager-Dove advances in the 2026 CA-37 primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXCAPRIMARY-3726-SKAM
Event family
KXCAPRIMARY-3726.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$7
Outcomes
9
Highest price
Sydney Kamlager-Dove 91¢
Current share
0%
Sydney Kamlager-Dove
kalshi · KXCAPRIMARY-3726-SKAM
Samantha Mota
kalshi · KXCAPRIMARY-3726-SMOT
Ryan Duckett
kalshi · KXCAPRIMARY-3726-RDUC
Baltazar Fedalizo
kalshi · KXCAPRIMARY-3726-BFED
Elizabeth Fenner
kalshi · KXCAPRIMARY-3726-EFEN
Steven Hill
kalshi · KXCAPRIMARY-3726-SHIL
Todd Lombardo
kalshi · KXCAPRIMARY-3726-TLOM
John Parker
kalshi · KXCAPRIMARY-3726-JPAR
Juan Rey
kalshi · KXCAPRIMARY-3726-JREY
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 97% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.