Tate McRae · KX1ALBUM-26DEC
Tate McRae is priced at 20¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 20¢ bid, 26¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #11 of 16 inside KX1ALBUM-26DEC.
Price history
20¢ current
−1¢Contract brief
If Tate McRae has a #1 album on the Billboard 200 by Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Tate McRae
Rank
#11 of 16
Leader
Olivia Rodrigo 96¢
Range
1¢-96¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KX1ALBUM-26DEC-TAT
May 27, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC · 22m ago
Implied probability
Bid
20¢
Ask
26¢
Spread
6¢
Reported volume
$485
Family rank
#11 of 16
16 outcomes · KX1ALBUM-26DEC
Closes
Dec 27, 2026
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
20 / 26¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Tate McRae has a #1 album on the Billboard 200 by Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 27, 2026
Identifier
KX1ALBUM-26DEC-TAT
Event family
KX1ALBUM-26DEC.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Olivia Rodrigo 96¢
Current share
0%
Olivia Rodrigo
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-OLIV
Ariana Grande
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-ARI
Post Malone
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-POS
Gracie Abrams
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-GRA
Future
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-FUT
Kendrick Lamar
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-KEN
SZA
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-SZA
Sabrina Carpenter
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-SAB
Lil Uzi Vert
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-UZI
Charli xcx
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-XCX
Tate McRae
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-TAT
Kanye West / Ye
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-KAN
Lil Wayne
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-WAY
Fred again..
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-FRE
Kodak Black
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-KOD
21 Savage
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-21S
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.