SZA · KX1ALBUM-26DEC
SZA is priced at 32¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 31¢ bid, 32¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 16 inside KX1ALBUM-26DEC.
Price history
32¢ current
+2¢Contract brief
If SZA has a #1 album on the Billboard 200 by Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
SZA
Rank
#4 of 16
Leader
Post Malone 60¢
Range
2¢-60¢
Family volume
$118
Identifier
KX1ALBUM-26DEC-SZA
Sep 17, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC · 30m ago
Implied probability
Bid
31¢
Ask
32¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$14
Family rank
#4 of 16
16 outcomes · KX1ALBUM-26DEC
Closes
Dec 27, 2026
Family volume
$118
Orderbook snapshot
31 / 32¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If SZA has a #1 album on the Billboard 200 by Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 27, 2026
Identifier
KX1ALBUM-26DEC-SZA
Event family
KX1ALBUM-26DEC.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$118
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Post Malone 60¢
Current share
0%
Post Malone
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-POS
Miley Cyrus
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-MIL
Travis Scott
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-TRA
SZA
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-SZA
Beyoncé
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-BEY
Nicki Minaj
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-NIC
The Weeknd
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-WEE
Billie Eilish
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-BIL
Eminem
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-EMI
Kanye West / Ye
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-KAN
Rihanna
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-RIH
Coldplay
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-COL
Frank Ocean
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-FRA
Justin Bieber
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-JUS
Phoebe Bridgers
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-PHO
Ed Sheeran
kalshi · KX1ALBUM-26DEC-ED
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.