Will Taylor Swift meet with Pope Leo XIV before Jan 2027?
This contract is priced at 6¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 7¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
1
Family volume
$1K
Best sibling
—
Ticker
KXPOPESWIFT-27
Market snapshot
Before Jan 1, 2027 in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Taylor Swift meet with Pope Leo XIV before Jan 2027?. The displayed quote is 6¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $1K. It is currently represented as a standalone prediction-market contract. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC.
Outcome
Before Jan 1, 2027
Family rank
—
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
6¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Jan 1, 2027
24h volume
$1K
Family context
Standalone contract
Quote range
—
Family leader
—
Last updated
May 11, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 12m ago
Venue identifier: KXPOPESWIFT-27. Family volume: $1K.
Price history
6¢ current
Orderbook snapshot
6 / 7¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Taylor Swift meets with Pope Leo XIV before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXPOPESWIFT-27
Event family
KXPOPESWIFT-27.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Before Jan 1, 2027 6¢
Current share
100%
Before Jan 1, 2027
kalshi · KXPOPESWIFT-27
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 6% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.