SimpleFunctions

Boys of Dungeon Lane by Paul McCartney have above 80000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the May 29, 2026 - June 06, 2026 tracking week

Above 80K is priced at 58¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 39¢ bid, 56¢ ask, 17¢ spread. This outcome ranks #14 of 16 inside KXPUREALBUMS-BOY26JUN04.

Price history

58¢ current

+56¢
0¢25¢50¢
May 27, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If The Boys of Dungeon Lane by Paul McCartney has above 80K Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the May 29, 2026 - June 06, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 80K

Rank

#14 of 16

Leader

Above 12K 95¢

Range

19¢-95¢

Family volume

$239

Identifier

KXPUREALBUMS-BOY26JUN04-80K

May 28, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 11m ago

Implied probability

58¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 11m ago

Bid

39¢

Ask

56¢

Spread

17¢

24h volume

$10

Family rank

#14 of 16

16 outcomes · KXPUREALBUMS-BOY26JUN04

Closes

Jun 7, 2026

Family volume

$239

Orderbook snapshot

39 / 56¢

Kalshi
17¢ spread
BidSize
39¢100
AskSize
56¢10
57¢177
58¢100
97¢9
99¢24

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If The Boys of Dungeon Lane by Paul McCartney has above 80K Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the May 29, 2026 - June 06, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 7, 2026

Identifier

KXPUREALBUMS-BOY26JUN04-80K

SF Signal
SF Index
5883.72
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

5883.7%

IY (No)

2405.0%

Adj IY

5884%

CRI

2

RV

7560%

VR

3.93

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

5883.7%
2405.0%
Adj IY
5884%
2
RV
7560%
VR
3.93
IAR
1.1/h
Overround
11.9%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.