SimpleFunctions
KalshiJan 18, 2027251 days left

Will the Carolina pro football team win at least 10 games this season?

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 11 May 2026Methodology

This contract is priced at 28¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 20¢ bid, 25¢ ask, 5¢ spread.

Implied probability

28¢
$198 volume
$198 liquidity
479% of event volume

Event outcomes

12

Family volume

$41

Best sibling

8+ wins 42¢

Ticker

KXNFLWINS-27CAR-10

Market snapshot

10+ wins in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will the Carolina pro football team win at least 10 games this season?. The displayed quote is 28¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $198. In the Will the Carolina pro football team win at least family, this outcome ranks #10 of 12 by current quote across 12 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC.

Outcome

10+ wins

Family rank

#10 of 12

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

28¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jan 18, 2027

Reported volume

$198

Family context

12 outcomes · Will the Carolina pro football team win at least

Quote range

6¢-83¢

Family leader

1+ wins 83¢

Last updated

May 11, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 1m ago

Venue identifier: KXNFLWINS-27CAR-10. Family volume: $41.

Price history

28¢ current

+8¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 30, 2026May 5, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

20 / 25¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
20¢515
19¢800
5¢1.2K
3¢20
AskSize
25¢5
26¢1.3K
35¢500
36¢10
37¢500

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the Carolina Pro Football team wins at least 10 games in the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 18, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLWINS-27CAR-10

SF Signal
SF Index
217.88
Regime
neutral

Event family

Will the Carolina pro football team win at least.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$41

Outcomes

12

Highest price

1+ wins 83¢

Current share

0%

Browse this series

NFL Team Season Win Total Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXNFLWINS series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

581.0%

IY (No)

36.3%

Adj IY

218%

CRI

4

Overround

5.5%

LAS

0.25

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

581.0%
36.3%
Adj IY
218%
4
Overround
5.5%
LAS
0.25

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.