SimpleFunctions

Markets · Series

NFL Team Season Win Total Markets — 402 contracts, SF signal on every row.

402 live Kalshi contracts (385 audited). Median implied probability sits at 61%. 48 contracts moved 5cents+ in the last 24h (biggest: KXNFLWINS-27DAL-14 -15c). Refreshed every 5 minutes.

Fit: mean deviation 29.4pp · cheapest KXNFLWINS-27HOU-13 · richest KXNFLWINS-27DET-1.

Analytics view (term structure, fitted hazard rate, per-bucket deviations): /yield-curves/KXNFLWINS.

Series JSON twin
GET/api/public/markets/series/KXNFLWINS
Term curve JSON
GET/api/public/yield-curves/KXNFLWINS
example response
{
  "scope": {
    "type": "series",
    "slug": "KXNFLWINS",
    "label": "NFL Team Season Win Total Markets"
  },
  "live": {
    "contractCount": 402,
    "volume24hSum": 6749.35,
    "hasThesisCount": 0
  },
  "termFit": {
    "seriesType": "unknown",
    "hazardRate": 0.00248
  }
}
By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 26 Jun 2026Methodology
Disagreement≥100
min 89max ≥100
Vol Flow$6.7K+56%
min $2.9Kmax $11.7K
Breadth-100%-106.0pp
min -100%max 100%
Activity
warming up — first reading at 07:00 UTC
Jun 19past 7d · UTCJun 26 · 06:23

Live contracts

402

Median IY

61¢

implied prob (YES)

24h volume

$6.7K

Days to catalyst

none

no scheduled catalyst

SF thesis coverage

0

Top mover

-15¢

KXNFLWINS-27DAL-14

NFL Team Season Win Total Markets — liquidity topography (top 64 of 402 markets)

X = time-to-resolution (log). Y = 24h volume (log). Color = annualized %. Range: 59.1 5730.9%

$10$100$1,0001d7d30d90d5730.92895.059.1

Hover for ticker detail; click to open the per-market page. full screener →

Top markets in NFL Team Season Win Total Markets

Showing top 20 of 402

Sortable on every numeric column. Every row carries the SF indicator stack — bounded for readability, raw value on hover.

Will the New York G pro football team win at least 7 games this season?: 7+ wins61¢
IY 113%Cliff 2Edge RVol Resid $1.2K
Will the Houston pro football team win at least 12 games this season?: 12+ wins26¢
IY 504%Cliff 3Edge RVol 481%Resid $615
Will the Chicago pro football team win at least 11 games this season?: 11+ wins35¢
IY 329%Cliff 2Edge RVol Resid $505
Will the Green Bay pro football team win at least 9 games this season?: 9+ wins69¢
IY 80%Cliff 2Edge RVol Resid $505
Will the New York G pro football team win at least 9 games this season?: 9+ wins37¢
IY 302%Cliff 2Edge RVol Resid $472
Will the Atlanta pro football team win at least 8 games this season?: 8+ wins46¢
IY 208%Cliff 1Edge RVol Resid $450
Will the Pittsburgh pro football team win at least 7 games this season?: 7+ wins68¢
IY 83%Cliff 2Edge RVol Resid $411
Will the Las Vegas pro football team win at least 6 games this season?: 6+ wins58¢
IY 128%Cliff 1Edge RVol Resid $351
Will the New England pro football team win at least 10 games this season?: 10+ wins56¢
IY 139%Cliff 1Edge RVol Resid $193
Will the Washington pro football team win at least 8 games this season?: 8+ wins57¢
IY 134%Cliff 1Edge RVol Resid $175
Will the Houston pro football team win at least 9 games this season?: 9+ wins64¢
IY 100%Cliff 2Edge RVol Resid $144
Will the Seattle pro football team win at least 12 games this season?: 12+ wins40¢
IY 266%Cliff 2Edge RVol Resid $107
Will the San Francisco pro football team win at least 11 games this season?: 11+ wins42¢
IY 245%Cliff 1Edge RVol Resid $102
Will the Washington pro football team win at least 7 games this season?: 7+ wins66¢
IY 91%Cliff 2Edge RVol Resid $100
Will the Pittsburgh pro football team win at least 10 games this season?: 10+ wins26¢
IY 504%Cliff 3Edge RVol Resid $92
Will the New York G pro football team win at least 8 games this season?: 8+ wins53¢
IY 157%Cliff 1Edge RVol Resid $88
Will the San Francisco pro football team win at least 10 games this season?: 10+ wins56¢
IY 139%Cliff 1Edge RVol Resid $82
Will the Miami pro football team win at least 9 games this season?: 9+ wins
IY >999%Cliff 13Edge RVol Resid $76
Will the Tennessee pro football team win at least 9 games this season?: 9+ wins
IY >999%Cliff 10Edge RVol Resid $75
Will the Los Angeles C pro football team win at least 12 games this season?: 12+ wins24¢
IY 561%Cliff 3Edge RVol 711%Resid $75
402 contracts total · sort any columnFull set on /screen →

Biggest movers, 24h, in NFL Team Season Win Total Markets

From market_changes

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 26 Jun 2026 06:38:41 GMT.

Term-structure analytics

Probability vs tenor curve and per-bucket deviation analysis. /yield-curves/KXNFLWINS

Category view

All Kalshi Sports markets. /markets/category/sports

Venue view

Everything on Kalshi. /markets/venue/kalshi →

JSON API

Same data, machine-readable. twin endpoint →