Will the combined revision to seasonally adjusted total nonfarm payroll employment in the April 2026 report be above 50,000ㅤ?
This contract is priced at 14¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 100¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
1
Family volume
$71
Best sibling
—
Ticker
KXPAYROLLSREV-26MAY08-T50000
Market snapshot
Will the combined revision to seasonally adjusted total nonfarm payroll employment in the April 2026 report be above 50,000ㅤ in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will the combined revision to seasonally adjusted total nonfarm payroll employment in the April 2026 report be above 50,000ㅤ?. The displayed quote is 14¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $71. It is currently represented as a standalone prediction-market contract. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:36 AM UTC.
Outcome
Will the combined revision to seasonally adjusted total nonfarm payroll employment in the April 2026 report be above 50,000ㅤ
Family rank
—
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
14¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Past listed close May 8, 2026
24h volume
$71
Family context
Standalone contract
Quote range
—
Family leader
—
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 7:36 AM UTC · 0m ago
Venue identifier: KXPAYROLLSREV-26MAY08-T50000. Family volume: $71.
Price history
14¢ current
+4¢Orderbook snapshot
0 / 100¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If the combined revision to seasonally adjusted total nonfarm payroll employment for February 2026 and March 2026 in the April 2026 Employment Situation Release is above 50,000ㅤ, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 8, 2026
Identifier
KXPAYROLLSREV-26MAY08-T50000
Event family
This market.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$71
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will the combined revision to seasonally adjusted total nonfarm payroll employment in the April 2026 report be above 50,000ㅤ 14¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.568
Observability
high
Event type
data_release
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026
Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 14% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.