SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 29, 202626 days left

Will the gold close price be above 5013.99 USD/t.oz on May 29, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

This contract is priced at 5¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 7¢ bid, 12¢ ask, 5¢ spread.

Implied probability

5¢
$2K volume
$2K liquidity
74% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$3K

Best sibling

above $4373.99 67¢

Ticker

KXGOLDMON-26MAY2917-T5013.99

Price history

5¢ current

+1¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 2, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

7 / 12¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
7¢186
6¢56
5¢711
AskSize
12¢3
24¢10
25¢60
41¢32
42¢192

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on May 29, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 5013.99 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 29, 2026

Identifier

KXGOLDMON-26MAY2917-T5013.99

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

taker

Score

0.677

Observability

direct

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

18426.4%
104.4%
Adj IY
0%
13
RV
3940%
VR
2.77
IAR
1.8/h
6.000
Overround
16.2%
LAS
1.43

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Blogcrypto

How Bitcoin & Ethereum Crypto 2026 Price Prediction Markets Are Pricing the Next Leg of the Cycle

Deep-dive for crypto investors and traders into Bitcoin and Ethereum 2026 price prediction markets. Learn how BTC/ETH halving base rates, ETF flows, DeFi/L2 growth, and global regulation shape market-implied odds for 2026 price targets.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Technicalrisk

Reading Prediction Market Orderbooks: Liquidity, Spread, and When to Enter

How to read prediction market orderbooks on Kalshi. Covers bid-ask spread analysis, liquidity scoring, executable edge calculation, and when thin markets are opportunities vs traps.

Blogtech

MCP Servers for Prediction Markets: Connect Claude Code to Kalshi and Polymarket

Connect Claude Code, Cursor, or Cline to Kalshi and Polymarket prediction markets via MCP. One-line setup, 18 tools, real-time market data for AI agents.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index