Will the high temp in Austin be 79-80° on May 11, 2026?
This contract is priced at 41¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 34¢ bid, 39¢ ask, 5¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
6
Family volume
$52K
Best sibling
78° or below 4¢
Ticker
KXHIGHAUS-26MAY11-B79.5
Market snapshot
79° to 80° in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will the high temp in Austin be 79-80° on May 11, 2026?. The displayed quote is 41¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $10K. In the Will the high temp in Austin family, this outcome ranks #2 of 6 by current quote across 6 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC.
Outcome
79° to 80°
Family rank
#2 of 6
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
41¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until May 12, 2026
24h volume
$10K
Family context
6 outcomes · Will the high temp in Austin
Quote range
2¢-56¢
Family leader
81° to 82° 56¢
Last updated
May 11, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 13m ago
Venue identifier: KXHIGHAUS-26MAY11-B79.5. Family volume: $52K.
Price history
41¢ current
+16¢Orderbook snapshot
34 / 39¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for May 11, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 79-80°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 12, 2026
Identifier
KXHIGHAUS-26MAY11-B79.5
Event family
Will the high temp in Austin.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$52K
Outcomes
6
Highest price
81° to 82° 56¢
Current share
20%
79° to 80°
kalshi · KXHIGHAUS-26MAY11-B79.5
78° or below
kalshi · KXHIGHAUS-26MAY11-T79
81° to 82°
kalshi · KXHIGHAUS-26MAY11-B81.5
83° to 84°
kalshi · KXHIGHAUS-26MAY11-B83.5
85° to 86°
kalshi · KXHIGHAUS-26MAY11-B85.5
87° or above
kalshi · KXHIGHAUS-26MAY11-T86
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 41% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.