Will the high temp in Austin be 85-86° on May 9, 2026?
This contract is priced at 5¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 5¢ bid, 6¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
6
Family volume
$12K
Best sibling
82° or below 2¢
Ticker
KXHIGHAUS-26MAY09-B85.5
Market snapshot
85° to 86° in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will the high temp in Austin be 85-86° on May 9, 2026?. The displayed quote is 5¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $1K. In the Will the high temp in Austin family, this outcome ranks #4 of 6 by current quote across 6 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC.
Outcome
85° to 86°
Family rank
#4 of 6
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
5¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until May 10, 2026
24h volume
$1K
Family context
6 outcomes · Will the high temp in Austin
Quote range
2¢-43¢
Family leader
89° to 90° 43¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC · 1m ago
Venue identifier: KXHIGHAUS-26MAY09-B85.5. Family volume: $12K.
Price history
5¢ current
−15¢Orderbook snapshot
5 / 6¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom for May 09, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 85-86°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 10, 2026
Identifier
KXHIGHAUS-26MAY09-B85.5
Event family
Will the high temp in Austin.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$12K
Outcomes
6
Highest price
89° to 90° 43¢
Current share
10%
85° to 86°
kalshi · KXHIGHAUS-26MAY09-B85.5
82° or below
kalshi · KXHIGHAUS-26MAY09-T83
89° to 90°
kalshi · KXHIGHAUS-26MAY09-B89.5
87° to 88°
kalshi · KXHIGHAUS-26MAY09-B87.5
91° or above
kalshi · KXHIGHAUS-26MAY09-T90
83° to 84°
kalshi · KXHIGHAUS-26MAY09-B83.5
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
Maker / Taker Regime in Prediction Markets: How to Read the Orderbook State
Three regime states (maker-dominated, taker-dominated, neutral) and how to read which one a Kalshi or Polymarket contract is in. Strategy follows regime, not thesis.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 5% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.