Will the high temp in NYC be <62° on May 11, 2026?
This contract is priced at 42¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 40¢ bid, 42¢ ask, 2¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
6
Family volume
$120K
Best sibling
64° to 65° 8¢
Ticker
KXHIGHNY-26MAY11-T62
Market snapshot
61° or below in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will the high temp in NYC be <62° on May 11, 2026?. The displayed quote is 42¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $37K. In the Will the high temp in NYC family, this outcome ranks #2 of 6 by current quote across 6 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 6:23 PM UTC.
Outcome
61° or below
Family rank
#2 of 6
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
42¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until May 12, 2026
24h volume
$37K
Family context
6 outcomes · Will the high temp in NYC
Quote range
1¢-62¢
Family leader
62° to 63° 62¢
Last updated
May 11, 2026, 6:23 PM UTC · 1m ago
Venue identifier: KXHIGHNY-26MAY11-T62. Family volume: $120K.
Price history
42¢ current
+35¢Orderbook snapshot
40 / 42¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for May 11, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 62°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 12, 2026
Identifier
KXHIGHNY-26MAY11-T62
Event family
Will the high temp in NYC.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$120K
Outcomes
6
Highest price
62° to 63° 62¢
Current share
30%
61° or below
kalshi · KXHIGHNY-26MAY11-T62
64° to 65°
kalshi · KXHIGHNY-26MAY11-B64.5
62° to 63°
kalshi · KXHIGHNY-26MAY11-B62.5
66° to 67°
kalshi · KXHIGHNY-26MAY11-B66.5
70° or above
kalshi · KXHIGHNY-26MAY11-T69
68° to 69°
kalshi · KXHIGHNY-26MAY11-B68.5
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 42% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.