84° or above · Will the high temp in NYC
84° or above is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 6 inside Will the high temp in NYC.
Price history
1¢ current
−1¢Contract brief
If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for May 28, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is greater than 83°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
84° or above
Rank
#4 of 6
Leader
75° or below 94¢
Range
1¢-94¢
Family volume
$173K
Identifier
KXHIGHNY-26MAY28-T83
May 28, 2026, 8:45 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
1¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$2K
Family rank
#4 of 6
6 outcomes · Will the high temp in NYC
Closes
May 29, 2026
Family volume
$173K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 1¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for May 28, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is greater than 83°, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 29, 2026
Identifier
KXHIGHNY-26MAY28-T83
Event family
Will the high temp in NYC.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$173K
Outcomes
6
Highest price
75° or below 94¢
Current share
1%
75° or below
kalshi · KXHIGHNY-26MAY28-T76
76° to 77°
kalshi · KXHIGHNY-26MAY28-B76.5
78° to 79°
kalshi · KXHIGHNY-26MAY28-B78.5
80° to 81°
kalshi · KXHIGHNY-26MAY28-B80.5
84° or above
kalshi · KXHIGHNY-26MAY28-T83
82° to 83°
kalshi · KXHIGHNY-26MAY28-B82.5
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.