Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Iowa be at least 9 percentage points?
This contract is priced at 12¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 12¢ bid, 16¢ ask, 4¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
5
Family volume
$700
Best sibling
Democrats, 12+ pts 6¢
Ticker
KXMIDTERMMOV-IAGOVD-P9
Price history
12¢ current
−18¢Orderbook snapshot
12 / 16¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Iowa by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXMIDTERMMOV-IAGOVD-P9
Event family
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Iowa be at least.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$700
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Democrats, 3+ pts 41¢
Current share
50%
Democrats, 9+ pts
kalshi · KXMIDTERMMOV-IAGOVD-P9
Democrats, 12+ pts
kalshi · KXMIDTERMMOV-IAGOVD-P12
Democrats, 6+ pts
kalshi · KXMIDTERMMOV-IAGOVD-P6
Democrats, 3+ pts
kalshi · KXMIDTERMMOV-IAGOVD-P3
Democrats, 15+ pts
kalshi · KXMIDTERMMOV-IAGOVD-P15
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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