Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Iowa be at least 4 percentage points?
This contract is priced at 8¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 8¢ bid, 10¢ ask, 2¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
3
Family volume
$483
Best sibling
Democrats, 2+ pts 24¢
Ticker
KXMIDTERMMOV-IASEND-P4
Price history
8¢ current
−13¢Orderbook snapshot
8 / 10¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXMIDTERMMOV-IASEND-P4
Event family
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Iowa be at least.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$483
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Democrats, 2+ pts 24¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Realtime Data API
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