Will the margin of victory for No in the 2026 Virginia redistricting amendment be between 0% and 3%?
This contract is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 1¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 0¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
4
Family volume
$60K
Best sibling
Yes, 0-3% 1¢
Ticker
KXMOVVAREDISTRICT-26APR21-NO-P1
Price history
1¢ current
−5¢Orderbook snapshot
1 / 1¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If the margin of victory for No in the 2026 Virginia redistricting amendment falls between 0% and 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Apr 21, 2027
Identifier
KXMOVVAREDISTRICT-26APR21-NO-P1
Event family
Will the margin of victory.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$60K
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Yes, 3-6% 71¢
Current share
17%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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World State API
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Hedging Workflows
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