Will the maximum temperature be <65° on May 11, 2026?
This contract is priced at 2¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 2¢ bid, 3¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
6
Family volume
$47K
Best sibling
69° to 70° 7¢
Ticker
KXHIGHTMIN-26MAY11-T65
Market snapshot
64° or below in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will the maximum temperature be <65° on May 11, 2026?. The displayed quote is 2¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $3K. In the Will the maximum temperature family, this outcome ranks #4 of 6 by current quote across 6 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 7:27 PM UTC.
Outcome
64° or below
Family rank
#4 of 6
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
2¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until May 12, 2026
24h volume
$3K
Family context
6 outcomes · Will the maximum temperature
Quote range
1¢-57¢
Family leader
67° to 68° 57¢
Last updated
May 11, 2026, 7:27 PM UTC · 0m ago
Venue identifier: KXHIGHTMIN-26MAY11-T65. Family volume: $47K.
Price history
2¢ current
−7¢Orderbook snapshot
2 / 3¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If the maximum temperature recorded at Minneapolis for May 11, 2026, is less than 65° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 12, 2026
Identifier
KXHIGHTMIN-26MAY11-T65
Event family
Will the maximum temperature.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$47K
Outcomes
6
Highest price
67° to 68° 57¢
Current share
5%
64° or below
kalshi · KXHIGHTMIN-26MAY11-T65
69° to 70°
kalshi · KXHIGHTMIN-26MAY11-B69.5
65° to 66°
kalshi · KXHIGHTMIN-26MAY11-B65.5
67° to 68°
kalshi · KXHIGHTMIN-26MAY11-B67.5
71° to 72°
kalshi · KXHIGHTMIN-26MAY11-B71.5
73° or above
kalshi · KXHIGHTMIN-26MAY11-T72
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.