SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 10, 2026

Will the minimum temperature be >55° on May 9, 2026?

This contract is priced at 2¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 2¢ bid, 3¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

2¢
$69 volume
$64 liquidity
2% of event volume

Event outcomes

6

Family volume

$3K

Best sibling

48° to 49° 1¢

Ticker

KXLOWTSFO-26MAY09-T55

Market snapshot

56° or above in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will the minimum temperature be >55° on May 9, 2026?. The displayed quote is 2¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $69. In the Will the minimum temperature family, this outcome ranks #4 of 6 by current quote across 6 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:34 AM UTC.

Outcome

56° or above

Family rank

#4 of 6

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until May 10, 2026

24h volume

$69

Family context

6 outcomes · Will the minimum temperature

Quote range

1¢-42¢

Family leader

52° to 53° 42¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 7:34 AM UTC · 0m ago

Venue identifier: KXLOWTSFO-26MAY09-T55. Family volume: $3K.

Price history

2¢ current

1¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 8, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

2 / 3¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢150
2¢68
AskSize
3¢10
4¢5
14¢12
27¢5
28¢4

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco for May 9, 2026, is greater than 55° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 10, 2026

Identifier

KXLOWTSFO-26MAY09-T55

Event family

Will the minimum temperature.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$3K

Outcomes

6

Highest price

52° to 53° 42¢

Current share

2%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Opinionessay

Prediction market liquidity: why depth matters more than volume for serious traders

Why orderbook depth matters more than volume for prediction market traders. Real Kalshi examples, liquidity scoring framework, and how to avoid slippage.

Opinionanalysis

Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026

Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index