64° or above · Will the minimum temperature
64° or above is priced at 12¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 13¢ bid, 14¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 6 inside Will the minimum temperature.
Price history
12¢ current
+7¢Contract brief
If the minimum temperature recorded at Denver for Jun 8, 2026, is greater than 63° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
64° or above
Rank
#4 of 6
Leader
56° to 57° 33¢
Range
7¢-33¢
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
KXLOWTDEN-26JUN08-T63
Jun 7, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 16m ago
Implied probability
Bid
13¢
Ask
14¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$324
Family rank
#4 of 6
6 outcomes · Will the minimum temperature
Closes
Jun 9, 2026
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
13 / 14¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the minimum temperature recorded at Denver for Jun 8, 2026, is greater than 63° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 9, 2026
Identifier
KXLOWTDEN-26JUN08-T63
Event family
Will the minimum temperature.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
6
Highest price
56° to 57° 33¢
Current share
22%
56° to 57°
kalshi · KXLOWTDEN-26JUN08-B56.5
60° to 61°
kalshi · KXLOWTDEN-26JUN08-B60.5
58° to 59°
kalshi · KXLOWTDEN-26JUN08-B58.5
64° or above
kalshi · KXLOWTDEN-26JUN08-T63
62° to 63°
kalshi · KXLOWTDEN-26JUN08-B62.5
55° or below
kalshi · KXLOWTDEN-26JUN08-T56
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.