Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 29899.9900 at the end of May 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
This contract is priced at 20¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 17¢ bid, 22¢ ask, 5¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
16
Family volume
$491
Best sibling
27,099.99 or below 1¢
Ticker
KXNASDAQ100-26MAY15H1600-T29899.9900
Market snapshot
29,900 or above in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 29899.9900 at the end of May 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?. The displayed quote is 20¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $198. In the Will the Nasdaq-100 family, this outcome ranks #1 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 8:53 PM UTC.
Outcome
29,900 or above
Family rank
#1 of 16
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
20¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until May 15, 2026
24h volume
$198
Family context
16 outcomes · Will the Nasdaq-100
Quote range
1¢-17¢
Family leader
29,900 or above 17¢
Last updated
May 11, 2026, 8:53 PM UTC · 3m ago
Venue identifier: KXNASDAQ100-26MAY15H1600-T29899.9900. Family volume: $491.
Price history
20¢ current
+18¢Orderbook snapshot
17 / 22¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If the end-of-day Nasdaq 100 index value on May 15, 2026 is above 29899.9900, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 15, 2026
Identifier
KXNASDAQ100-26MAY15H1600-T29899.9900
Event family
Will the Nasdaq-100.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$491
Outcomes
16
Highest price
29,900 or above 17¢
Current share
40%
29,900 or above
kalshi · KXNASDAQ100-26MAY15H1600-T29899.9900
27,099.99 or below
kalshi · KXNASDAQ100-26MAY15H1600-T27100
27,700 to 27,799.99
kalshi · KXNASDAQ100-26MAY15H1600-B27750
29,300 to 29,399.99
kalshi · KXNASDAQ100-26MAY15H1600-B29350
28,300 to 28,399.99
kalshi · KXNASDAQ100-26MAY15H1600-B28350
28,400 to 28,499.99
kalshi · KXNASDAQ100-26MAY15H1600-B28450
28,500 to 28,599.99
kalshi · KXNASDAQ100-26MAY15H1600-B28550
28,600 to 28,699.99
kalshi · KXNASDAQ100-26MAY15H1600-B28650
28,700 to 28,799.99
kalshi · KXNASDAQ100-26MAY15H1600-B28750
28,800 to 28,899.99
kalshi · KXNASDAQ100-26MAY15H1600-B28850
28,900 to 28,999.99
kalshi · KXNASDAQ100-26MAY15H1600-B28950
29,000 to 29,099.99
kalshi · KXNASDAQ100-26MAY15H1600-B29050
29,100 to 29,199.99
kalshi · KXNASDAQ100-26MAY15H1600-B29150
29,200 to 29,299.99
kalshi · KXNASDAQ100-26MAY15H1600-B29250
29,400 to 29,499.99
kalshi · KXNASDAQ100-26MAY15H1600-B29450
29,500 to 29,599.99
kalshi · KXNASDAQ100-26MAY15H1600-B29550
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.