SimpleFunctions

Markets · Series

Nasdaq-100 Close-Price Bucket Markets

Kalshi contracts on whether the Nasdaq-100 closes within each price bucket at a target date and time. This page is the per-series collection canonical — for the term-structure / analytics view of the same prefix see yield curve analytics.

What this hub contains: every Kalshi contract whose ticker belongs to the KXNASDAQ series. What it does not contain: Polymarket contracts (they do not share the Kalshi series prefix taxonomy) and per-question aggregates (see /odds).

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 11 May 2026Methodology

Live contracts

31

Venue

Kalshi

Refresh

5 min

Top markets in Nasdaq-100 Close-Price Bucket Markets

Sorted by 24-hour USD volume. Each row links to the per-contract page.

ContractPrice
Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 29000 and 29499.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 29,000 to 29,499.99[K]
3¢
Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 32500 and 33000 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 32,500 to 33,000[K]
5¢
Will the Nasdaq-100 be below 22000.01 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 22,000 or below[K]
16¢
Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 31500 and 31999.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 31,500 to 31,999.99[K]
3¢
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 33000 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 33,000.01 or above[K]
28¢
Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 31000 and 31499.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 31,000 to 31,499.99[K]
3¢
Will the Nasdaq-100 be below 22200.01 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 22,200 or below[K]
14¢
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 29899.9900 at the end of May 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?: 29,900 or above[K]
16¢
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 29499.99 after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 29,500 or above[K]
94¢
Will the Nasdaq-100 be below 19000 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 18,999.99 or below[K]
8¢
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 25249.85 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 25,249.86 or above[K]
71¢
Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 32000 and 32499.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?: 32,000 to 32,499.99[K]
6¢
Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 29300 and 29399.9900 at the end of May 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?: 29,300 to 29,399.99[K]
5¢
Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 29000 and 29099.9900 at the end of May 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?: 29,000 to 29,099.99[K]
3¢
Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 29700 and 29799.9900 at the end of May 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?: 29,700 to 29,799.99[K]
4¢
Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 29800 and 29899.9900 at the end of May 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?: 29,800 to 29,899.99[K]
3¢
Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 29500 and 29599.9900 at the end of May 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?: 29,500 to 29,599.99[K]
5¢
Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 28900 and 28999.9900 at the end of May 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?: 28,900 to 28,999.99[K]
3¢
Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 29400 and 29499.9900 at the end of May 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?: 29,400 to 29,499.99[K]
5¢
Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 29200 and 29299.9900 at the end of May 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?: 29,200 to 29,299.99[K]
4¢

Showing top 20 of 31 markets in this hub.

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 11 May 2026 19:53:55 GMT.

Term-structure view

Probability vs tenor curve for the same series. Distinct intent — analytics, not navigation. /yield-curves/KXNASDAQ →

Category view

All Kalshi Financials markets. /markets/category/financials →

Venue view

Everything on Kalshi. /markets/venue/kalshi →