Will the Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry UFC fight end in a draw?
This contract is priced at 13¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 72¢ ask, 72¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
3
Family volume
$131
Best sibling
Will either competitor win the Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry UFC fight by Submission? : Submission 18¢
Ticker
KXUFCMOF-26MAY16DIAPER-DRAW
Market snapshot
Will the Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry UFC fight end in a draw? : Draw in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will the Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry UFC fight end in a draw? . The displayed quote is 13¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $80. In the KXUFCMOF-26MAY16DIAPER family, this outcome ranks #3 of 3 by current quote across 3 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC.
Outcome
Will the Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry UFC fight end in a draw? : Draw
Family rank
#3 of 3
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
13¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until May 30, 2026
Reported volume
$80
Family context
3 outcomes · KXUFCMOF-26MAY16DIAPER
Quote range
13¢-35¢
Family leader
Will either competitor win the Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry UFC fight by KO/TKO/DQ? : KO/TKO/DQ 35¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC · 2m ago
Venue identifier: KXUFCMOF-26MAY16DIAPER-DRAW. Family volume: $131.
Price history
13¢ current
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 72¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If the result is Draw during the Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry UFC fight originally scheduled for May 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 30, 2026
Identifier
KXUFCMOF-26MAY16DIAPER-DRAW
Event family
KXUFCMOF-26MAY16DIAPER.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$131
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Will either competitor win the Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry UFC fight by KO/TKO/DQ? : KO/TKO/DQ 35¢
Current share
0%
Will the Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry UFC fight end in a draw? : Draw
kalshi · KXUFCMOF-26MAY16DIAPER-DRAW
Will either competitor win the Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry UFC fight by Submission? : Submission
kalshi · KXUFCMOF-26MAY16DIAPER-SUB
Will either competitor win the Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry UFC fight by KO/TKO/DQ? : KO/TKO/DQ
kalshi · KXUFCMOF-26MAY16DIAPER-KOTKODQ
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 13% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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