SimpleFunctions
KalshiJan 1, 2027

Will the price of natural gas get below $2.60 per million BTU before January 1, 2027?

This contract is priced at 79¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 1¢ bid, 99¢ ask, 98¢ spread.

Implied probability

79¢
$112 volume
$110 liquidity
429% of event volume

Event outcomes

7

Family volume

$26

Best sibling

$1.79 or below 1¢

Ticker

KXNGASMIN-26DEC31-N2.60

Price history

79¢ current

+1¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 1, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

1 / 99¢

Kalshi
98¢ spread
BidSize
100¢50
AskSize
99¢100

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the U.S. Energy Information Administration reports the Henry Hub natural gas spot price below $2.60 per million Btu on any day after Issuance and before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXNGASMIN-26DEC31-N2.60

Event family

Will the price of natural gas get below $.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$26

Outcomes

7

Highest price

$2.59 or below 1¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

financial

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