SimpleFunctions
KalshiJun 1, 202618 days left

Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.54 on May 31?

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 13 May 2026Methodology

This contract is priced at 17¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 47¢ ask, 44¢ spread.

Implied probability

17¢
$3 volume
$2 liquidity
38% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$8

Best sibling

Above $0.53 29¢

Ticker

KXRTX5090MON-26MAY31-0.540

Market snapshot

Above $0.54 in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0.54 on May 31?. The displayed quote is 17¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $3. In the Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0 family, this outcome ranks #15 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 13, 2026, 7:53 PM UTC.

Outcome

Above $0.54

Family rank

#15 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

17¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jun 1, 2026

24h volume

$3

Family context

16 outcomes · Will the RTX 5090 compute per hour price be above $0

Quote range

7¢-85¢

Family leader

Above $0.28 85¢

Last updated

May 13, 2026, 7:53 PM UTC · 4m ago

Venue identifier: KXRTX5090MON-26MAY31-0.540. Family volume: $8.

Price history

17¢ current

1¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 12, 2026May 13, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

3 / 47¢

Kalshi
44¢ spread
BidSize
3¢3
AskSize
47¢5
98¢32
99¢1

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the value of RTX 5090 compute per hour is above $0.54 on May 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 1, 2026

Identifier

KXRTX5090MON-26MAY31-0.540

SF Signal
SF Index
0.00
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

9067.4%
436.9%
Adj IY
0%
5
RV
613%
VR
0.63
IAR
1.3/h
Overround
19.4%
LAS
1.61

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.