SimpleFunctions
KalshiJul 1, 2026

Will the tariff rate on India imports be between 20% and 29.99% on Jul 1, 2026?

This contract is priced at 8¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 1¢ bid, 8¢ ask, 7¢ spread.

Implied probability

8¢
$3K volume
$554 liquidity
2764% of event volume

Event outcomes

7

Family volume

$97

Best sibling

Between 50% and 60% 1¢

Ticker

KXTARIFFRATEINDIA-26JUL01-24

Price history

8¢ current

+6¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026Apr 12, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

1 / 8¢

Kalshi
7¢ spread
BidSize
100¢500
100¢200
100¢50
AskSize
8¢183
9¢500
20¢16
32¢16
44¢16

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the general import tariff rate on imports from India into the United States on Jul 1, 2026 is between 20 to 29.99%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 1, 2026

Identifier

KXTARIFFRATEINDIA-26JUL01-24

Event family

Will the tariff rate on India imports.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$97

Outcomes

7

Highest price

Between 10% and 19.99% 75¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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