SimpleFunctions
KalshiJul 1, 202658 days left

Will the tariff rate on India imports be between 10% and 19.99% on Jul 1, 2026?

This contract is priced at 81¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 75¢ bid, 80¢ ask, 5¢ spread.

Implied probability

81¢
$5K volume
$4K liquidity
5088% of event volume

Event outcomes

7

Family volume

$97

Best sibling

Between 50% and 60% 1¢

Ticker

KXTARIFFRATEINDIA-26JUL01-14

Price history

81¢ current

+6¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 13, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

75 / 80¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
75¢5
74¢500
2¢56
2¢192
2¢5.0K
AskSize
80¢5
81¢501
95¢240
99¢100
99¢3.1K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the general import tariff rate on imports from India into the United States on Jul 1, 2026 is between 10 to 19.99%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 1, 2026

Identifier

KXTARIFFRATEINDIA-26JUL01-14

Event family

Will the tariff rate on India imports.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$97

Outcomes

7

Highest price

Between 10% and 19.99% 75¢

Current share

13%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

208.1%
1873.0%
Adj IY
937%
3

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